When managing epidemics of new infectious disease it is important to learn the lessons of the past, but also to recognise the specific variables and uncertainties of the present. Communicating risk in evolving epidemics involves recognising those uncertainties and being prepared to change advice on the basis of new and evolving evidence. Education, reliable information and effective communication are key factors in the management of epidemics of infectious disease.
As COVID-19 continues to spread in Hong Kong, and globally, information around this new disease evolves at a rapid pace. We have compiled a historical record of this evolving process for our patients. We have loaded all our previous communications such that they can be assessed in context.
Navigate through the months to see key disease milestones.
Hong Kong also recorded its first positive case, a 39-year-old man who arrived in Hong Kong from China.
OT&P produce their first newsletter.
The first blog: the distinction between the disease and the epidemic was published.
OT&P published a blog explaining why the WHO has declared the global health emergency.
The first two COVID-19 cases are confirmed in the UK.
First death recorded in Hong Kong from COVID-19. A 39-year old male who had travelled to Wuhan on the 21st of January with an underlying illness.
Communicating risk in an epidemic: A personal perspective written by Dr David Owens as a reflection of his previous experience of the epidemics of TB, HIV and SARS.
OT&P 2nd newsletter.
To assist parents in dealing with school closure, OT&P children’s behavioural therapist wrote an article on how to maintain structure at home during this period.
South Korea reports over 20 more cases on this day, marking the beginning of the outbreak cluster in Daegu, South Korea.
We asked the question ‘How do we get back to normal?’
OT&P 5th newsletter.
Hong Kong reaches the milestone of 100 confirmed cases.
WHO declares the coronavirus outbreak to be a pandemic.
OT&P 7th newsletter.
We published a blog asking whether it is better to contain or delay and mitigate?
As more politicians made bleak predictions about COVID-19, we discussed the danger of predictions of mortality in evolving epidemics.
OT&P 8th newsletter.
Hong Kong records 48 new infections, the biggest daily tally so far.
The United Kingdom goes into lockdown.
OT&P 9th newsletter.
Total COVID-19 cases surpasses 1 million.
OT&P 10th newsletter.
We published a COVID-19 Q&A.
OT&P announce a study with the University of Hong Kong. The study will provide evidence of the effectiveness of the community-wide interventions that Hong Kong has been implementing. The study required 1,500 volunteers to donate a blood sample. The response to the newsletter was extraordinary, such that we had more than 3,000 volunteers within 4 hours and the study was oversubscribed.
OT&P 11th newsletter.
OT&P 12th newsletter.
OT&P publish a blog ‘what are Antibodies are and why they are so important’?
OT&P publish a blog asking ‘what we know about COVID-19 and how lifestyle and diet affect the severity of the disease?’
OT&P 13th newsletter.
Total COVID-19 cases surpasses 10 million.
Total COVID-19 cases surpasses 11 million.
This also marks the start of Hong Kong's third "wave" with COVID-19.
OT&P 14th newsletter.
Total COVID-19 cases surpass 20 million.
OT&P 15th newsletter. This is also the first newsletter to have an audio version available.
OT&P publish findings of a recent study exploring our patient perceptions of the mass testing program: 'Survey of Patient Perceptions of the Hong Kong Mass Testing Program and Recognition of Potential Barriers to Testing'.
Total COVID-19 cases surpass 30 million.
South Korea and Japan relaxed their restriction on business travel with a bilateral agreement. Short-term business travellers are exempted from 14-days quarantine .
Total COVID-19 cases surpasses 40 million.
Total COVID-19 death toll surpasses 1 million.
Total COVID-19 cases surpasses 60 million.
OT&P 16th newsletter.
OT&P publish the first podcast update about the transmission of COVID-19, Closing Schools and the balance of public health measures. This episode features Professor Ben Cowling, who is the division head of the department of epidemiology and biostatistics in the School of Public Health at the University of Hong Kong.
OT&P also publish a blog about vaccines for COVID-19.
OT&P publish a blog about the viral mutations being reported in the UK, South Africa and Brazil.
Total COVID-19 cases surpasses 90 million.
We will continue to update this timeline regularly to include major milestones and information. If you’d like to receive updates directly to your inbox, please subscribe to our newsletter.